For Kamath, the project required a new level of rigor compared to his prior modeling work.
“It’s not just numbers and points on a graph.” says Kamath. With FamineWatch, it is real “human lives that you’re talking about.”
As is often the case for specialized AI systems, getting the right data – and the right level of granularity – was a core challenge. “The biggest problem was just the availability of data,” Kamath says.
Looking Ahead
Despite those difficulties, however, Dr. Puma is confident that advanced technologies like AI—and even quantum computing—can provide important insights for fields like his. For example, Dr. Puma says, “Quantum mechanics are actually quite useful when you’re trying to model human decision-making,” which plays a crucial role in the dynamics of food insecurity.
“Even someone working on quantum, they’d be like, ‘Oh, there’s no connection with understanding food security.’ Well, that’s not true,” Puma says.
Although quantum computing is still largely on the horizon, agent-based approaches like the one Kamath implemented for FamineWatch can help model complexity that more classical approaches simply can’t capture.
“We’re sitting here trying to build models and trying to predict food insecurity, and it’s just such a complicated pattern,” says Kamath.
For now, the prototype Kamath developed is a valuable proof of concept that has already become a foundational building block for the next phase of FamineWatch: Securing funding to build a fully functioning, open-source tool.
Puma is currently in conversations with global philanthropic foundations to evaluate how the AI-driven approach of FamineWatch could be scaled to support robust, data-driven decision-making for aid organizations at all levels.
“These AI agents [can help organizations] access the data quicker and then run through different intervention scenarios,” Puma says. “There’s a lot of potential there.”